Open Thread - Friday, June 23, 2017

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There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that 'my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.
- Isaac Asimov -

It sure is funkin' hot!

NASA - What's the Difference Between Weather and Climate?

The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short period of time, and climate is how the atmosphere "behaves" over relatively long periods of time.

When we talk about climate change, we talk about changes in long-term averages of daily weather. Today, children always hear stories from their parents and grandparents about how snow was always piled up to their waists as they trudged off to school. Children today in most areas of the country haven't experienced those kinds of dreadful snow-packed winters, except for the Northeastern U.S. in January 2005. The change in recent winter snows indicate that the climate has changed since their parents were young.

If summers seem hotter lately, then the recent climate may have changed. In various parts of the world, some people have even noticed that springtime comes earlier now than it did 30 years ago. An earlier springtime is indicative of a possible change in the climate.

In addition to long-term climate change, there are shorter term climate variations. This so-called climate variability can be represented by periodic or intermittent changes related to El Niño, La Niña, volcanic eruptions, or other changes in the Earth system.

What Weather Means
Weather is basically the way the atmosphere is behaving, mainly with respect to its effects upon life and human activities. The difference between weather and climate is that weather consists of the short-term (minutes to months) changes in the atmosphere. Most people think of weather in terms of temperature, humidity, precipitation, cloudiness, brightness, visibility, wind, and atmospheric pressure, as in high and low pressure.

In most places, weather can change from minute-to-minute, hour-to-hour, day-to-day, and season-to-season. Climate, however, is the average of weather over time and space. An easy way to remember the difference is that climate is what you expect, like a very hot summer, and weather is what you get, like a hot day with pop-up thunderstorms.

It has not dipped below 70F for over a week! There have been thunderstorms, almost everday. Some gully washers.

How pop culture warps our perception of reality

“Pop culture is the entirety of ideas, perspectives, attitudes, memes, images, and other phenomena that are within the mainstream of a given culture, especially Western culture of the early to mid-20th century and the emerging global mainstream of the late 20th and early 21st century. Heavily influenced by mass media, this collection of ideas permeates the everyday lives of the society.”

The United States of America would have a mainstream culture even without mass media. However, every aspect of life in America is so saturated with mass media that you can’t even walk into a grocery store or dentist’s office without seeing televisions, magazines and advertisements. Since every American has been raised on ideas, perspectives, attitudes, memes and images broadcasted through mass media, those ideas and behaviors have become America’s mainstream ideas and behaviors, and since the rest of the world also consumes American mass media, America’s habits are becoming the world’s habits.

This wouldn’t be a problem if most of America’s mass media were enlightened and humanitarian. Unfortunately, intelligence in American media is the exception, not the rule, because media producers don’t sit down and ask themselves what they can do to edify the general public and make the world a better place. They ask what they can do to make more money, and the way you make money is by creating a product that costs a little as you can get away with paying, and then you sell it to as many people as possible for as high a price as you can get away with. In order to sell a product to the most people, your product has to appeal to the most people.

It’s hard to sell something to everyone, because individuals are so different. Plus, we’re all cognitive misers, which means our brains are programmed to use mental shortcuts to help us navigate our way through life without thinking. Sometimes this is efficient and useful to the individual, but sometimes it causes one to think irrationally, which can be bad for marketers, whose job it is to convince people to buy a product, because it’s hard to reason with irrational people. This can also be good for marketers, because irrational people are easy to manipulate… especially if the manipulator understands psychology, and thousands of trained therapists, who should be making the world a better place, are making a comfortable living advising businesses on how to better manipulate their customers.

Turn off the television! You kids go outside and play!

Human Herding: How People are Like Guppies
Following the herd may seem prudent to individuals, but it's risky for society.

A few weeks ago I participated in a panel on ethics at a ‘Future of Finance’ conference at Oxford’s Saïd Business School. An audience member asked our panel to comment on herding behaviour in banks, and since then I’ve been giving this issue some more thought. To what extent can human herding be explained in terms of the same goals that motivate herding in other social species?

In human societies, herding often involves people using the actions of others as a guide to sensible behavior, instead of independently seeking out high-quality information about the likely outcomes of these actions. Herding can be particularly destructive in market contexts, because blind faith in market trends by a swarm of individuals can lead to huge bubbles and devastating crashes. But if herding can lead to outcomes that are so damaging and maladaptive at the level of the society, then why did it evolve in the first place? Because herding evolved to benefit individuals, not groups or societies.

We’re used to thinking of social groups as fundamentally cooperative entities, but with some kinds of groups, nothing could be further from the truth. In fact, the best-known biological theory of herding, William Hamilton’s “selfish herd” idea [1], proposes that herds are the result of individuals trying to ensure that other members of their species, rather than themselves, will get eaten by predators. According to this theory, in many social aggregations, the risk of predation is higher at the periphery than at the center. A herd’s form and movement can be the result of individuals competing to stay close to this center, so that other individuals end up between themselves and the predators. Selfish herds have been proposed to occur in many different species, from wasps to guppies to sheep.

Another likely reason why evolution has favored herding is related to information access. By aggregating in groups, individuals can more easily benefit from knowledge that other group members have gained about, for example, the location of key resources. Herding can thus improve individual foraging success, and this appears to be a primary reason why fish such as (once again) guppies form shoals [5]. From this perspective, as with that of selfish herd theory, herding is the by-product of individuals pursuing their own self-interest.

Media Manipulation and Disinformation Online

"the spread of false or misleading information is having real and negative effects on the public consumption of news."

Internet subcultures take advantage of the current media ecosystem to manipulate news frames, set agendas, and propagate ideas.

Far-right groups develop techniques of “attention hacking” to increase the visibility of their ideas through the strategic use of social media, memes, and bots—as well as by targeting journalists, bloggers, and influencers to help spread content.

The media’s dependence on social media, analytics and metrics, sensationalism, novelty over newsworthiness, and clickbait makes them vulnerable to such media manipulation.

While trolls, white nationalists, Men's Rights Activists, gamergaters, the "alt-right," and conspiracy theorists may diverge deeply in their beliefs, they share tactics and converge on common issues.

The far-right exploits young men’s rebellion and dislike of “political correctness” to spread white supremacist thought, Islamophobia, and misogyny through irony and knowledge of internet culture.

Media manipulation may contribute to decreased trust of mainstream media, increased misinformation, and further radicalization.

full report

That's about it for me. I took my motorcycle to the shop and they gave me a shop loaner.

See what I mean? Gotta move.

Have a great funkin' weekend!

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Arrow's picture

Great OT. Good funkin morning.
Sunny here again today. Lifts the spirits.
Here in Ecuador the day starts (too)early. The sun comes up at 6:15 and sets at 6:15.

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I want a Pony!

NCTim's picture

@Arrow ... are fascinating. The sun's direct rays just reversed and headed your way. It gets light here during the 5 AM hour and dark shortly after 9 PM.

I remember visiting Amsterdam. I was already disoriented from an overnight flight, a day of meetings and a cat nap. My host dropped me in front of the hotel. It was still light out, so I headed out on the town. I was sitting in front of a Grolsch before I realized it was almost midnight. Amsterdam is a far northern latitude, compared with the continental US, and has very long summer days.

Good to funkin' hear from the southern hemishpere.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

mimi's picture

@NCTim
get the rising sun directly on to my face in bed. I am awake at 1130 pm and drop sleeping while trying to read Joe's EB, lamps on, still not dark outside.

Time zone hopping is hell.

Very nice OT. Thanks. Cute shop loaner motor cycle you got there. Don't slip in the rain with it. Smile

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enhydra lutris's picture

with a totally aberrant mini T-storm that briefly blasted a short narrow track that included our place. Oranges and apricots are ripe or nearly so.

Meanwhile, the fish in the barrel remain ripe for the plucking, so to speak. Promised solutions and salvations abound but entropy seems to hold most of the cards. Adlai Stevenson was unelectable because he was an egghead. Even as a 6 year old I found that to be pretty damn stupid. "What we need now is an uneducated unthinking lout"? Since when pray tell? More to the point, why has this not changed in the last 65 years?

As the prophet Tim hath spake - FunKin A!

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

NCTim's picture

@enhydra lutris ... reminds me of corporate worlds. The pricks and liars rule.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

lotlizard's picture

@NCTim  
When Hollywood or Silicon Valley figures line up behind a certain candidate or party, it’s easy for progressives to fall into the trap of thinking those subcultures are some kind of ethical or political role model.

They aren’t. Not even close. They’re just “hipper” versions of Wall Street.

Take sexism. Hollywood has always been notorious for the “casting couch“ and “it’s not who ya know, it’s who ya blow.”

And Silicon Valley? Well . . .

https://www.susanjfowler.com/blog/2017/2/19/reflecting-on-one-very-stran...

And Susan Fowler’s experience at Uber is in no way unusual:
https://www.recode.net/2017/6/21/15844852/uber-toxic-bro-company-culture...

Pussy-hat protests, pop stars, and billionaire web-tech ad sellers and sporadic-reinforcement addiction manipulators do not, cannot add up to a credible progressive movement.

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NCTim's picture

@lotlizard They don't like DFH's either. The value of a person is based upon their commercially exploitable skills. Heh, I was dealing with a spouse afflicted with ALS and was dismissed for diminished work performance. If I had been one of the lying, narcissistic or pricking, some accommodation would be arranged. The meek shall not inherit the earth.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

orlbucfan's picture

Back at ya!

https://youtu.be/8BcmjGWNOMU

Enjoyed the reads on pop (garbage) culture and human herds. That's one nasty ride the shop loaned you. It has 'crotch rocket' stamped all over it. What is the model? What was your take on the special election in SC-05? You live in NC. You know how deep, deep, deep red that area is. Anywho, behave and stay safe mi amigo! Smile Rec'd!!

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Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.

NCTim's picture

@orlbucfan ... a Ducati Hyperstrada. It is rather petite for the engine size. Kind of like sitting on top of a dirt bike. The seating postion is uncomfortable. It is OK for riding country roads for an hour or two, but after that, I would rather be on the big beemer.

The shop screwed up a parts order (twice) and they have my bike apart waiting for the right part. Hence the snazzy loaner. It had about 75 miles, when I rode it away. I am a little north of 300 now. I am expecting the call, to come get my motorcycle, this afternoon. I may need to ride out for coffee and a donut. Smile

SC is so gerrymandered that the outcomes are basically predetermined. For that matter, the entire country. I think it would be better if house seats were apportioned by state wide popular vote.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

orlbucfan's picture

FRightwing biker slur against the Japanese motorcycles. I always considered it imbecilic! The Honda Goldwing and big Kawasaki cruisers are class rides IMHO. I think I wrote that our PNW rental was a 2017 HD 107 Limited. Very nice, but overpriced. Ducati makes a super fast ride. Is Moto Guzzi still around? @NCTim

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Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.

NCTim's picture

@orlbucfan Mostly. I am not a fan of 1%ers. I tend to think of crotch rockets as motorcycles with low bars, or clip one, rear set pegs and tuning for HP at high RPM. There is an active cafe racer culture here in the Triangle. Guys hot rod old, mostly Japanese manufacture, motorcycles. The host some pretty cool events like Eurobike and The Rumble in Durham. The Rumble is way cool. It is a vintage motorcycle and scooter gathering. It is themed around the Mods, scooters, and Rockers, motorcycles, English social friction and The Who's Quadrephenia.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

Raggedy Ann's picture

Media manipulation is so ingrained in the American psyche that people are akin to zombies, anymore. We cut the satellite teevee cord a year ago and it was the best decision ever. We do have antenna teevee, but only watch the occasional PBS program. Getting away from all that consumer blabber is refreshing.

Yeah, that motorcycle doesn't look comfortable at all, so I hope you get yours back soon.

Have a beautiful day and weekend, everyone! Pleasantry

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"The “jumpers” reminded us that one day we will all face only one choice and that is how we will die, not how we will live." Chris Hedges on 9/11

riverlover's picture

@Raggedy Ann I have a Roku and Amazon Prime. I rarely watch TV now, even though I could do it recumbent. I got a survey about cars and they asked what ads I had seen on TV or in print, and I realized I have seen NO ADS for over a year. I gave up on NYT and similar after the Bernie treatment. It's so much nicer now. I still manage to stay informed, enough for me, to get along.

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Hey! my dear friends or soon-to-be's, JtC could use the donations to keep this site functioning for those of us who can still see the life preserver or flotsam in the water.

Raggedy Ann's picture

@riverlover
It's c99p that keeps me informed and many of the sites in the blog roll. Good

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"The “jumpers” reminded us that one day we will all face only one choice and that is how we will die, not how we will live." Chris Hedges on 9/11

NCTim's picture

@Raggedy Ann I canceled satellite. After Sue stopped talking, and football season started, I caved. I watched some hockey, with thing one. I'lol have to work on the football affinity.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

ggersh's picture

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I never knew that the term "Never Again" only pertained to
those born Jewish

"Antisemite used to be someone who didn't like Jews
now it's someone who Jews don't like"

Heard from Margaret Kimberley

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riverlover's picture

I had to buy tomato plants and peppers, they were on sale. And they will sure get watered on when I get them in big pots outside.

I am feeling very shaky, must start PT to gain confidence that I will not break my face again. The sutures were removed by my daughter. There is right now a valley scar on the bridge of my nose, not pretty. I hope it infills some so that I get a Harry Potter scar.

I opted for no surgery, but was assured that since the facial bones are aligned that they will slowly heal. Better than having my jaws wired and more metallic implants which my body seems not to tolerate.I bought a medical alert device, not yet installed. That should calm my kids and relatives.

Found a nice ceramic pot for my olive tree, to up-pot. Yay.

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Hey! my dear friends or soon-to-be's, JtC could use the donations to keep this site functioning for those of us who can still see the life preserver or flotsam in the water.

orlbucfan's picture

eye on you. Smile @riverlover

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Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.

riverlover's picture

@orlbucfan @orlbucfan Somewhat like Hillary, I now work incrementally. No big pushing. Try that for some time. Test slowly.

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Hey! my dear friends or soon-to-be's, JtC could use the donations to keep this site functioning for those of us who can still see the life preserver or flotsam in the water.

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lotlizard's picture

A “hate arms race” between color-based white and non-white ideological activist factions? Inevitable, already in progress, coming soon to a college campus near you?

https://medium.com/@SonofBaldwin/let-them-fucking-die-c316eee34212

http://www.theroot.com/the-term-white-tears-is-funny-but-what-it-often-l...

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=%22white+tears%22+privilege&t=ffsb&ia=web

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NCTim's picture

@lotlizard

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

TheOtherMaven's picture

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There is no justice. There can be no peace.