There's a certain unnamed subreddit that not surprisingly has decided that American citizens should leave if they want to criticize America. After all, everyone wants to be in America. Sort of like how everyone saw London as a beacon of liberty in the 19th Century or Rome in the 2nd Century.
So I decided to look at international polls.
This essay is about the fact that if you still feel that COVID and the vaccines are an important issue, then you aren't just in the minority. Your chosen minority is so small that it is statistically insignificant.
And that isn't my opinion.
For instance, Gallup:
Election polls are 95 percent confident but only 60 percent accurate, UC Berkeley Haas study finds
By Laura Counts, UC Berkeley Haas
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/election-polls-are-95-percen...
So, less than a week out, where are we?
As a refresher, here's where we were at this point in 2016
Trump: 260 ECV (FL and NC had closed for Trump)
Clinton: 248 ECV
Potentially dodgy: NV (6 ECV)
Too-close to call: NH (4 ECV) and PA (20 ECV)
This is truly a triumph for political corruption and journalistic malpractice.
That's the results from a partisan DailyKos poll.
Well now that a full slate of new National polling data has been released, let's take a look at how the field has changed:
Hat Tip, to Not Henry Kissinger
So the Warren campaign, CNN, WashPost (which has been worse than normal), and the DNC all ganged up to take down Bernie this week.
How did that go?
As we all know, polls take sampling averages from historic trends.
For instance, old white people vote. Young brown people generally don't vote. That's just the way it is.
But what if that trend suddenly changes?
I haven't seen anyone mention it, but Warren has been dropping in the polls for all of October.
