25th Amendment in the cards?
Submitted by fire with fire on Mon, 04/06/2026 - 10:53amPrediction markets tracking the likelihood that President Donald Trump could be removed from office under the 25th Amendment saw a steady climb this weekend, reflecting heightened public speculation as the Iran war intensifies and the president’s recent statements draw widespread scrutiny.
On Kalshi, one of the largest regulated prediction platforms, trading volume rose as users bet on whether Cabinet‑level action to declare the president unfit might occur.
The increase comes at a moment of global crisis, with the Iran war reshaping U.S. foreign policy and raising questions about decision‑making at the highest levels of government.
Why It Matters
The 25th Amendment is one of the most consequential constitutional mechanisms available, allowing the vice president and a majority of the Cabinet to declare a president unable to perform the duties of office.
Even small movements in prediction markets can influence political narratives, investor sentiment, and public perception of stability inside the executive branch.
While prediction markets do not forecast outcomes with certainty, they often reflect real‑time shifts in public expectations.
